Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000113 0.000125 0.000138 0.000153 0.000170 0.000188 0.000209
2025-11-16 0.000093 0.000110 0.000128 0.000151 0.000178 0.000208 0.000247
2025-11-23 0.000080 0.000099 0.000121 0.000150 0.000186 0.000229 0.000286
2025-11-30 0.000070 0.000091 0.000116 0.000150 0.000194 0.000251 0.000328
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000083 0.000111 0.000149 0.000200 0.000268 0.000366
2025-12-14 0.000057 0.000079 0.000108 0.000150 0.000210 0.000292 0.000413
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000074 0.000105 0.000151 0.000217 0.000312 0.000458
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000070 0.000101 0.000149 0.000222 0.000329 0.000499
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000067 0.000100 0.000152 0.000232 0.000354 0.000553
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000064 0.000097 0.000152 0.000239 0.000374 0.000602
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000060 0.000095 0.000151 0.000244 0.000391 0.000648
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000057 0.000092 0.000150 0.000248 0.000408 0.000693
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000055 0.000090 0.000150 0.000254 0.000429 0.000749
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000052 0.000086 0.000148 0.000257 0.000444 0.000797
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000049 0.000084 0.000148 0.000262 0.000464 0.000855
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000048 0.000083 0.000148 0.000269 0.000487 0.000920
2026-03-01 0.000025 0.000045 0.000080 0.000147 0.000272 0.000504 0.000975
2026-03-08 0.000024 0.000044 0.000080 0.000148 0.000281 0.000532 0.001055
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000043 0.000078 0.000149 0.000288 0.000557 0.001129
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000041 0.000076 0.000148 0.000291 0.000575 0.001192
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000040 0.000076 0.000150 0.000302 0.000607 0.001288
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000039 0.000075 0.000150 0.000308 0.000632 0.001371
2026-04-12 0.000019 0.000037 0.000073 0.000149 0.000312 0.000653 0.001445